Description

This analysis provides a forecast of ICP prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-03-16 0.002407 0.002551 0.002704 0.002880 0.003079 0.003298 0.003560
2025-03-23 0.002221 0.002422 0.002649 0.002927 0.003265 0.003670 0.004206
2025-03-30 0.002053 0.002282 0.002551 0.002897 0.003342 0.003913 0.004737
2025-04-06 0.001902 0.002142 0.002432 0.002817 0.003334 0.004034 0.005123
2025-04-13 0.001800 0.002050 0.002359 0.002782 0.003370 0.004210 0.005621
2025-04-20 0.001666 0.001909 0.002212 0.002631 0.003228 0.004104 0.005639
2025-04-27 0.001610 0.001860 0.002178 0.002629 0.003291 0.004308 0.006232
2025-05-04 0.001586 0.001851 0.002194 0.002694 0.003458 0.004704 0.007315
2025-05-11 0.001542 0.001811 0.002165 0.002692 0.003521 0.004933 0.008155
2025-05-18 0.001529 0.001812 0.002191 0.002770 0.003718 0.005442 0.009942
2025-05-25 0.001486 0.001770 0.002155 0.002752 0.003751 0.005645 0.011060
2025-06-01 0.001436 0.001716 0.002098 0.002697 0.003716 0.005701 0.011774
2025-06-08 0.001417 0.001706 0.002107 0.002750 0.003886 0.006255 0.014962
2025-06-15 0.001395 0.001691 0.002106 0.002787 0.004035 0.006820 0.019503
2025-06-22 0.001356 0.001650 0.002067 0.002758 0.004053 0.007073 0.023228
2025-06-29 0.001309 0.001595 0.002003 0.002685 0.003974 0.007048 0.025049
2025-07-06 0.001275 0.001559 0.001965 0.002652 0.003973 0.007245 0.029967
2025-07-13 0.001216 0.001485 0.001869 0.002514 0.003745 0.006741 0.025881
2025-07-20 0.001195 0.001464 0.001852 0.002511 0.003798 0.007077 0.033570
2025-07-27 0.001190 0.001467 0.001870 0.002571 0.003991 0.007923 0.065512
2025-08-03 0.001170 0.001447 0.001855 0.002570 0.004048 0.008360 0.124210
2025-08-10 0.001169 0.001454 0.001879 0.002641 0.004284 0.009595 NaN
2025-08-17 0.001148 0.001431 0.001855 0.002624 0.004307 0.010000 NaN